A demanda presente no jogo é igual para todas as equipes? Análise da Bundesliga temporada 2021-22
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v51.100429Palavras-chave:
Análise de Jogo; Performance; Análise explicativa; Futebol; Demandas do jogo.Resumo
O objetivo consiste em identificar o grau de explicação do saldo de gols para as diferentes equipes da Bundesliga 2021-2022. Foram coletadas 306 partidas, sendo 34 partidas por equipes. Das variáveis relacionadas à bola, existem 15 variáveis simples e 4 compostas. A organização dos dados ocorreu por equipe e na competição completa. Aplicou-se como tratamento estatístico a Regressão Linear Múltipla no modelo de retrocesso. O conjunto de variáveis explicativas foi selecionado identificando o maior valor de R2 ajustado e VIF inferior a 10. Os graus de associação indicam valores elevados em todos os cenários (<0,750), sendo que todas as equipes analisadas de forma específica apresentam valores maiores quando comparadas a competição completa. Entre as variáveis apontadas como explicativas gols/chute se destaca em 95% das análises realizadas. Chutes de dentro da área e relação chutes/passes foram observados em 63% das análises, enquanto bloqueio/chute do adversário (53%) e a defesa do goleiro (47%) se destacam como as ações defensivas mais frequentes. Conclui-se que o conjunto de variáveis explicativas é específico para cada clube, indicando assim sua singularidade nas demandas do jogo enfrentadas pelas equipes. É importante destacar a necessidade de análises específicas por equipe para compreender melhor as demandas do jogo.
Palavras-Chave: Análise de Jogo; Performance; Análise explicativa; Futebol; Demandas do jogo.
Referências
Almeida, C. H. (2019). Comparison of successful offensive sequences in the group stage of 2018 FIFA World Cup: elimi-nated vs. qualified teams. Science and Medicine in Football, 3(3), 238–244. https://doi.org/10.1080/24733938.2019.1613557
Alves, D. L., Osiecki, R., Palumbo, D. P., Moiano, J. V. M., Oneda, G., & Cruz, R. (2019). What variables can differen-tiate winning and losing teams in the group and final stages of the 2018 FIFA World Cup? International Journal of Perfor-mance Analysis in Sport, 19(2), 248–257. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2019.1593096
Alves, R., Sousa, T., Vaz, V., Sarmento, H., Bradley, P. S., & Dias, G. (2023). Analysis of the interaction and offensive network of the Portuguese national team at the 2016 European Football Championship. Retos: Nuevas Tendencias En Edu-cación Física, Deporte y Recreación, (47), 35–42. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.47197/retos.v47.94621
Andrzejewski, M., Oliva-Lozano, J. M., Chmura, P., Chmura, J., Czarniecki, S., Kowalczuk, E., … Konefał, M. (2022). Analysis of team success based on match technical and running performance in a professional soccer league. BMC Sports Science, Medicine and Rehabilitation, 14(1), 1–7. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13102-022-00473-7
Añon, I. C., Scaglia, A. J., & Torezzan, C. (2019). Analysis of the technical-tactical profile of la liga teams 2017-2018: A multivariate approach. Revista Andaluza de Medicina Del Deporte, 12(2). https://doi.org/10.33155/j.ramd.2019.01.004
Anzer, G., & Bauer, P. (2021). A goal scoring probability model for shots based on synchronized positional and event data in football (soccer). Frontiers in Sports and Active Living, 3, 624475. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3389/fspor.2021.624475
Araújo, D., Passos, P., & Esteves, P. (2013). Teoria do treino da Tomada de Decisão no Desporto. Psicologia Do Desporto: Manual Do Treinador. Omniserviços. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.2542.0806
Araújo Guimarães, J. P., Rochael, M., Pereira de Andrade, A. G., da Glória Teles Bredt, S., & Moreira Praça, G. (2022). How Reaching the Pitch’s Final Third is Related to Scoring Opportunities in Soccer? Retos: Nuevas Perspectivas de Educa-ción Física, Deporte y Recreación, 43. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v43i0.88750
Bondia, I. L., González-Rodenas, J., Moreno, F. C., Pérez-Turpin, J. A., & Malavés, R. A. (2017). Creating goal scoring opportunities in elite soccer. Tactical differences between Real Madrid CF and FC Barcelona. Retos. Nuevas Tendencias En Educación Física, Deporte y Recreación, (32), 233–237. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.47197/retos.v0i32.56467
Casal Sanjurjo, C. A., Andujar Casais, M. Á., Ardá Suárez, A., Maneiro, R., Rial, A., & Losada, J. L. (2021). Multivariate analysis of defensive phase in football: Identification of successful behavior patterns of 2014 Brazil FIFA World Cup. Journal of Human Sport and Exercise, 16(3), 503–516. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.14198/jhse.2021.163.03
Collet, C. (2013). The possession game? A comparative analysis of ball retention and team success in European and interna-tional football, 2007-2010. Journal of Sports Sciences, 31(2), 123–136. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2012.727455
Domingos, L. F., & Añon, I. C. (2022). Indicadores técnicos de desempenho para comparação de equipes de sucesso e não sucesso na Bundesliga. Revista Andaluza de Medicina Del Deporte, 15(1), 1–5. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.33155/j.ramd.2020.08.003
Errekagorri, I., Castellano, J., Echeazarra, I., López-Del Campo, R., & Resta, R. (2022). A longitudinal analysis of tech-nical-tactical and physical performance of the teams in the Spanish LaLiga Santander: An eight-season study. Biology of Sport, 39(2), 389–396. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5114/biolsport.2022.105331
García-Rubio, J., Gómez, M. Á., Lago-Peñas, C., & Ibáñez, J. S. (2015). Effect of match venue, scoring first and quality of opposition on match outcome in the UEFA Champions League. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 15(2), 527–539. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2015.11868811
Georgievski, B., Labadze, L., & Aboelsoud, M. E. (2019). Comparative advantage as a success factor in football clubs: Evidence from the English Premier League (EPL). Journal Of Human Sport And Exercise, 14(2), 292–314. https://doi.org/10.14198/jhse.2019.142.04
Gollan, S., Bellenger, C., & Norton, K. (2020). Contextual Factors Impact Styles of Play in the English Premier League. Journal of Sports Science and Medicine, 19(1), 78–83.
Gonzalez-Rodenas, J., Aranda-Malaves, R., Tudela-Desantes, A., Calabuig Moreno, F., Casal, C. A., & Aranda, R. (2019). Effect of Match Location, Team Ranking, Match Status and Tactical Dimensions on the Offensive Performance in Spanish `La Liga’ Soccer Matches. Frontiers in Psychology, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2019.02089
González-Ródenas, J., Lopez-Bondia, I., Aranda-Malaves, R., Tudela Desantes, A., Sanz-Ramírez, E., & Aranda, R. (2019). Technical, tactical and spatial indicators related to goal scoring in European elite soccer. Journal of Human Sport and Exercise. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.14198/jhse.2020.151.17
Gonzalez-Rodenas, J., Mitrotasios, M., Aranda, R., & Armatas, V. (2020). Combined effects of tactical, technical and contextual factors on shooting effectiveness in European professional soccer. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 20(2), 280–293. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2020.1743163
Harper, L. D., West, D. J., Stevenson, E., & Russell, M. (2014). Technical Performance Reduces during the Extra-Time Period of Professional Soccer Match-Play. Plos One, 9(10), 6. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0110995
Hughes, M., & Lovell, T. (2019). Transition to attack in elite soccer. Journal of Human Sport and Exercise, 14(1), 236–253. https://doi.org/10.14198/jhse.2019.141.20
Konefal, M., Chmura, P., Tessitore, A., Melcer, T., Kowalczuk, E., Chmura, J., & Andrzejewski, M. (2020). The Impact of Match Location and Players’ Physical and Technical Activities on Winning in the German Bundesliga. Frontiers in Psy-chology, 11. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.01748
Lago-Penas, C., Gomez-Ruano, M., & Yang, G. (2017). Styles of play in professional soccer: an approach of the Chinese Soccer Super League. International Journal Of Performance Analysis In Sport, 17(6), 1073–1084. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2018.1431857
Lago-Penas, C., Lago-Ballesteros, J., & Rey, E. (2011). Differences in Performance Indicators between Winning and Los-ing Teams in the UEFA Champions League. Journal of Human Kinetics, 27, 137–148. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2478/v10078-011-0011-3
Lepschy, H., Woll, A., & Wäsche, H. (2021). Success Factors in the FIFA 2018 World Cup in Russia and FIFA 2014 World Cup in Brazil. Frontiers in Psychology, 12, 525. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.638690
Liu, H., Gomez, M.-Á., Lago-Peñas, C., & Sampaio, J. (2015). Match statistics related to winning in the group stage of 2014 Brazil FIFA World Cup. Journal of Sports Sciences, 33(12), 1205–1213. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2015.1022578
Liu, H., Hopkins, W., Gómez, A. M., & Molinuevo, S. J. (2013). Inter-operator reliability of live football match statistics from OPTA Sportsdata. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 13(3), 803–821. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2013.11868690
Liu, H. Y., Yi, Q., Gimenez, J. V, Gomez, M. A., & Lago-Penas, C. (2015). Performance profiles of football teams in the UEFA Champions League considering situational efficiency. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 15(1), 371–390. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2015.11868799
Liu, T., García-de-Alcaraz, A., Wang, H., Hu, P., & Chen, Q. (2021). Impact of scoring first on match outcome in the Chinese Football Super League. Frontiers in Psychology, 1617. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.662708
Magni, M., Zago, M., Vago, P., Vandoni, M., Carnevale Pellino, V., & Lovecchio, N. (2023). Technical Differences over the Course of the Match: An Analysis of Three Elite Teams in the UEFA Champions League. Sports, 11(2), 46. https://doi.org/https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/sports11020046
Martínez, F. D. M., & García, H. G. (2019). Efecto de marcar primero y la localización del partido en las principales ligas del fútbol europeo. Retos: Nuevas Tendencias En Educación Física, Deporte y Recreación, (35), 242–245. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.47197/retos.v0i35.64026
Mclean, S., & Salmon, P. M. (2019). The weakest link: a novel use of network analysis for the broken passing links in foot-ball. Science and Medicine in Football, 1–4. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/24733938.2018.1562277
Mundstock, F. B., da Silva Maia, F. H., & Bicalho, C. C. F. (2021). Goal difference relationship between the national leagues of Brazil, Germany and England from the perspective of the prospect theory. Journal of Physical Education and Sport, 21(5), 2569–2575. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.7752/jpes.2021.05344
Niu, Z., Baragaño, I. I., & Suárez, A. A. (2023). Análisis multivariante mediante árbol de decisión de los tiros libres indirec-tos en la Superliga China 2020. Retos: Nuevas Tendencias En Educación Física, Deporte y Recreación, (48), 358–365. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v48.97650
O’Donoghue, P. (2005). Normative profiles of sports performance. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 5(1), 104–119. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2005.11868319
Oliva-Lozano, J. M., Martínez-Puertas, H., Fortes, V., López-Del Campo, R., Resta, R., & Muyor, J. M. (2023). Is there any relationship between match running, technical-tactical performance, and team success in professional soccer? A lon-gitudinal study in the first and second divisions of LaLiga. Biology of Sport, 40(2). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5114/biolsport.2023.118021
Passos, P., Silva, R. A. E., Gomez-Jordana, L., & Davids, K. (2020). Developing a two-dimensional landscape model of opportunities for penetrative passing in association football - Stage I. Journal of Sports Sciences, 38(21), 2407–2414. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2020.1786991
Plakias, S., Moustakidis, S., Kokkotis, C., Tsatalas, T., Papalexi, M., Plakias, D., … Tsaopoulos, D. (2023). Identifying soccer teams’ styles of play: a scoping and critical review. Journal of Functional Morphology and Kinesiology, 8(2), 39. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3390/jfmk8020039
Ribeiro, J., Silva, P., Davids, K., Araujo, D., Ramos, J., Lopes, R. J., & Garganta, J. (2020). A multilevel hypernetworks approach to capture properties of team synergies at higher complexity levels. European Journal of Sport Science, 20(10), 1318–1328. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461391.2020.1718214
Sarmento, H., Clemente, F. M., Araújo, D., Davids, K., McRobert, A., & Figueiredo, A. (2018). What performance ana-lysts need to know about research trends in association football (2012–2016): A systematic review. Sports Medicine, 48(4), 799–836. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s40279-017-0836-6
Sarmento, H., Marcelino, R., Anguera, M. T., Campanico, J., Matos, N., & Leitao, J. C. (2014). Match analysis in foot-ball: a systematic review. Journal of Sports Sciences, 32(20), 1831–1843. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2014.898852
Scaglia, A. J. (2020). O futebol e as brincadeiras de bola: a família dos jogos de bola com os pés. Phorte Editora.
Scaglia, A. J., Costa, V. H. S., Júnior, J. B., Misuta, M. S., & Machado, J. (2021). Possibilidades e potencialidades técnico-táticas em diferentes tradicionais jogos/brincadeiras de bola com os pés. Retos: Nuevas Tendencias En Educación Física, De-porte y Recreación, (39), 312–317. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v0i39.79350
Smith, S. M., & Bedwell, J. R. (2021). Euro 2020 goal analysis: an ecological dynamics approach for football shooting prac-tice. Journal of Physical Education and Sport, 21(6), 3319–3325. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.7752/jpes.2021.06451
Vivés, M., Martín, J., Hileno, R., Torrents, C., & Ric, Á. (2018). Passing Dynamics in Football According to Ball Recov-ery. Apunts: Educació Física i Esports, (134). https://doi.org/10.5672/apunts.2014-0983.es.(2018/4).134.09
Yi, Q., Liu, H., Nassis, G. P., & Gómez, M.-Á. (2020). Evolutionary trends of players’ technical characteristics in the UEFA Champions League. Frontiers in Psychology, 11, 1032. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.01032
Yi, Q., Ruano, M. Á. G., Liu, H., & Sampaio, J. (2019). Variation of match statistics and football teams’ match perfor-mance in the group stage of the EUFA Champions league from 2010 to 2017. Kinesiology, 51(2), 170–181. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.26582/k.51.2.4
Downloads
Publicado
Como Citar
Edição
Secção
Licença
Direitos de Autor (c) 2023 Retos
Este trabalho encontra-se publicado com a Licença Internacional Creative Commons Atribuição-NãoComercial-SemDerivações 4.0.
Autores que publicam nesta revista concordam com os seguintes termos:
- Autores mantém os direitos autorais e assegurar a revista o direito de ser a primeira publicação da obra como licenciado sob a Licença Creative Commons Attribution que permite que outros para compartilhar o trabalho com o crédito de autoria do trabalho e publicação inicial nesta revista.
- Os autores podem estabelecer acordos adicionais separados para a distribuição não-exclusiva da versão do trabalho publicado na revista (por exemplo, a um repositório institucional, ou publicá-lo em um livro), com reconhecimento de autoria e publicação inicial nesta revista.
- É permitido e os autores são incentivados a divulgar o seu trabalho por via electrónica (por exemplo, em repositórios institucionais ou no seu próprio site), antes e durante o processo de envio, pois pode gerar alterações produtivas, bem como a uma intimação mais Cedo e mais do trabalho publicado (Veja O Efeito do Acesso Livre) (em Inglês).
Esta revista é a "política de acesso aberto" de Boai (1), apoiando os direitos dos usuários de "ler, baixar, copiar, distribuir, imprimir, pesquisar, ou link para os textos completos dos artigos". (1) http://legacy.earlham.edu/~peters/fos/boaifaq.htm#openaccess
