Methodology for sea level rise hazard assessment in the exposed coastal zone of the Portuguese mainland

Authors

  • Jorge Trindade Department of Sciences and Technology, Universidade Aberta, Lisbon, Portugal. - Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal. - Associated Laboratory Terra, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal.
  • Eusébio Reis Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal. Associated Laboratory Terra, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
  • Jorge Rocha Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal. Associated Laboratory Terra, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
  • Pedro Pinto Santos Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal. Associated Laboratory Terra, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
  • Ricardo Garcia Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal. Associated Laboratory Terra, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
  • Sérgio Cruz Oliveira Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal. Associated Laboratory Terra, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
  • Andreia Silva Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal.
  • Samuel Pinheiro Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal.
  • Jose Cuervas-Mons Department of Geology, University of Oviedo.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55407/geogaceta98169

Keywords:

sea level rise, hazard, coastal flood, coastal erosion

Abstract

Future scenarios of sea level rise in Portugal are expected to put at risk sensitive areas from a natural and urban point of view. This research proposes a methodology for the assessment of sea level rise Hazard zones using the evaluation of permanent and episodic components as important factors to predict flooding and coastal erosion hazards for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 1, 2 and 5 scenarios, in 2040, 2070 and 2100.

References

Antunes, C. (2019). Assessment of Sea Level Rise at West Coast of Portugal Mainland and Its Projection for the 21st Century. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 7(3), Artigo 3. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse7030061

Bon de Sousa, L., Loureiro, C., & Ferreira, O. (2018). Morphological and economic impacts of rising sea levels on cliff-backed platform beaches in southern Portugal. Applied Geography, 99, 31-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.07.023

Brown, S., Nicholls, R., Woodroffe, C., Hanson, S., Hinkel, J., Kebede, A., Neumann, B., & Vafeidis, A. (2013). Sea-level rise impacts and responses: A global perspective. Faculty of Science, Medicine and Health - Papers: part A, 117-149. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-5234-4_5

Costa, M., & Esteves, R. (2010). Clima de agitação marítima na costa oeste de Portugal Continental. Proceedings of XI Jornadas Técnicas de Engenharia Naval - O Sector Marítimo Português, 413-426.

Ferreira, Ó., Dias, J.A., & Taborda, R. (2008). Implications of Sea-Level Rise for Continental Portugal. Journal of Coastal Research, 24(2), 317-324. JSTOR. https://doi.org/10.2112/07A-0006.1

Neumann, B., Vafeidis, A. T., Zimmermann, J., & Nicholls, R. J. (2015). Future Coastal Population Growth and Exposure to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Flooding-A Global Assessment. PLOS ONE, 10(3), e0118571. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0118571

Nicholls, R. J., & Cazenave, A. (2010). Sea-Level Rise and Its Impact on Coastal Zones. Science, 328(5985), 1517-1520. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1185782

Oppenheimer, M., Glavovic, B.C., Hinkel, J., van de Wal, R., Magnan, A.K., Abd-Elgawad, A., Cai, R., Cifuentes-Jara, M., DeConto, R.M., Ghosh, T., Hay, J., Isla, F., Marzeion, B., Meyssignac, B., & Sebesvari, Z. (2019). Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low-Lying Islands, Coasts and Communities. Em IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate (pp. 321-445). IPCC.

Ponte Lira, C., Nobre Silva, A., Taborda, R., & Freire de Andrade, C. (2016). Coastline evolution of Portuguese low-lying sandy coast in the last 50 years: An integrated approach. Earth System Science Data, 8(1), 265-278. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-8-265-2016

Shadrick, J. R., Rood, D. H., Hurst, M. D., Piggott, M. D., Hebditch, B. G., Seal, A. J., & Wilcken, K. M. (2022). Sea-level rise will likely accelerate rock coast cliff retreat rates. Nature Communications, 13(1), Artigo 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34386-3

Tadesse, M. G., & Wahl, T. (2021). A database of global storm surge reconstructions. Scientific Data, 8(1), Artigo 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-021-00906-x

Downloads

Published

2023-12-18

How to Cite

Trindade, J., Reis, E., Rocha, J., Santos, P. P., Garcia, R., Oliveira, S. C., Silva, A., Pinheiro, S., & Cuervas-Mons, J. (2023). Methodology for sea level rise hazard assessment in the exposed coastal zone of the Portuguese mainland. GEOGACETA, 74, 59–62. https://doi.org/10.55407/geogaceta98169

Issue

Section

Artículos