Reconsiderando la teoría de las elecciones de segundo orden. ¿Cómo clasificar a las elecciones municipales españolas de 2019?

Irene Delgado Sotillos

doi:10.21308/recp.62.01

Authors

Irene Delgado Sotillos Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21308/recp.62.01

Keywords:

municipal elections, second-order elections, electoral cycle, nationalization, Spain

Abstract

This paper analyses the validity of the second-order model in the 2019 municipal elections. We focus, first, on the theoretical evolution that has transformed the model proposed by Reif and Schmitt (1980). Second, it evaluates the explanatory capacity of a model that does not fit with highly fragmented and heterogeneous units of analysis. Finally, a contextual analysis is presented to provide a more robust explanation of the 2019 Spanish municipal election.

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