Análisis de datos de panel en ciencia política: ventajas y aplicaciones en estudios electorales
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21308/recp.46.11Palabras clave:
panel, datos longitudinales, elecciones, simulación Monte Carlo.Resumen
La ciencia política ha recurrido a datos de panel o longitudinales de forma incremental en las últimas décadas. En comparación con datos transversales, las inferencias que se pueden obtener a través de datos de panel son considerablemente más reveladoras; sin embargo, su análisis no debe limitarse al modelo clásico lineal de regresión de mínimos cuadrados ordinarios. Con datos electorales reales y simulaciones, esta nota de investigación demuestra la mayor robustez de los modelos de efectos fijos y efectos aleatorios, así como los problemas con el estimador Arellano-Bond en el caso de paneles cortos en el tiempo, comunes en estudios electorales.
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