Keywords

Education, studies on the future, design, mixed methods, data mining, trends

Abstract

This paper brings together studies on the future and design methodologies to develop a novel proposal for prospective analysis in the field of education. We apply mixed research methods in combination with design methodologies to open up new routes for studying the evolution, impact and behaviour of trends in future scenarios. Our research is based on an analysis of qualitative data from secondary sources and interviews with experts, which we transform into quantitative data using fuzzy logic models applied to uncontrolled Internet data environments. Our goal is to verify the validity of the DEFLEXOR method, which addresses the need to identify educational opportunities based on future scenarios defined using megatrends detected in various fields. Our conclusions highlight that combining qualitative and quantitative approaches with the methodological principles of design thinking, together with automated calculations arising from creative reflection by experts, constitutes a powerful methodology for developing specific prospective studies.

View infography

References

Berenskoetter, F. (2011). Reclaiming the vision thing: Constructivists as students of the future. International Studies Quarterly, 55(3), 647-668. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00669.x

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Bonami, B., Piazentini, L., & Dala-Possa, A. (2020). Education, Big data and artificial intelligence: Mixed methods in digital platforms. [Educación, big data e inteligencia artificial: Metodologías mixtas en plataformas digitales]. Comunicar, 65, 43-52. https://doi.org/10.3916/C65-2020-04

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Brown, T.J., & Kuratko, D.F. (2015). The impact of design and innovation on the future of education. Psychology of Aesthetics, Creativity, and the Arts, 9(2), 147-151. https://doi.org/10.1037/aca0000010

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Campbell, D.T., & Fiske, D.W. (1959). Convergent and discriminant validation by the multitrait-multimethod matrix. Psychological Bulletin, 56(2), 81-105. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0046016

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Creswell, J.W. (2014). Research design: Qualitative, quantitative and mixed methods approaches. Sage. https://doi.org/10.5539/elt.v12n5p40

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Creswell, J.W. (2015). A concise introduction to mixed methods research. Sage. https://bit.ly/3hp6dDT

Link Google Scholar

Creswell, J.W., & Plano-Clark, V.L. (2011). Designing and conducting mixed methods research. Sage. https://bit.ly/3spnC5D

Link Google Scholar

Curry, L., & Nunez-Smith, M. (2015). Mixed methods in health sciences research. Sage. https://doi.org/10.4135/9781483390659

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Dagnino, F.M, Dimitriadis, Y., Pozzi, F., Rubia-Avi, B., & Asensio-Pérez, J. (2020). The role of supporting technologies in a mixed methods research design. [El rol de las tecnologías de apoyo en un diseño de investigación de métodos mixtos]. Comunicar, 65, 53-63. https://doi.org/10.3916/C65-2020-05

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

De-Bono, E. (2000). Six thinking hats. Penguin Books. https://bit.ly/3hiWuPm

Link Google Scholar

Decoufle, A.C. (1974). La prospectiva. Oikos-tau. https://bit.ly/3wFADZM

Link Google Scholar

Dorst, K. (2011). The core of ‘design thinking’ and its application. Design Studies, 32(6), 521-532. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.destud.2011.07.006

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Frisendal, T. (2012). Opportunity: Open information sharing. In Design thinking business analysis. Management for professionals. Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32844-2_13

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Godet, M. (2001). Creating futures. Economica. https://bit.ly/3wBsiHP

Link Google Scholar

Guetterman, T.C., Fetters, M.D., & Creswell, J.W. (2015). Integrating quantitative and qualitative results in health science mixed methods research through joint displays. Annals of Family Medicine, 13(6), 554-561. https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.1865

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Huber, L., & Veldman, G.J. (2015). Manual thinking. Empresa Activa. https://bit.ly/33U7csr

Link Google Scholar

Ito, J., & Howe, J. (2016). Whiplash: How to survive our faster future. Grand Central Publishing. https://bit.ly/3BTnX3A

Link Google Scholar

Jick, T.D. (1979). Mixing qualitative and quantitative methods: Triangulation in action. Administrative Science Quarterly, 24(4), 602-611. https://doi.org/10.2307/2392366

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Kuosa, T. (2010). Futures signals sense-making framework (FSSF): A start-up tool to analyse and categorise weak signals, wild cards, drivers, trends and other types of information. Futures, 42(1), 42-48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.08.003

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Kuosa, T. (2016). The evolution of strategic foresight: Navigating public policy making. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315558394

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Lara-Navarra, P., Lopez-Borrull, A., Sánchez-Navarro, J., & Yànez, P. (2018). Medición de la influencia de usuarios en redes sociales: Propuesta SocialEngagement. Profesional de la Información, 27(4), 899-908. https://doi.org/10.3145/epi.2018.jul.18

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Lawson, B. (1980). How designers think. Architectural Press. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780080454979

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Manetti, A., Ferrer-Sapena, A., Sánchez-Pérez, E.A., & Lara-Navarra, P. (2021). Design trend forecasting by combining conceptual analysis and semantic projections: New tools for open innovation. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc7010092

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Manzini, E., & Coad, R. (2015). Design, when everybody designs: An introduction to design for social innovation. The MIT Press. https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9873.001.0001

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Martínez-Martínez, S., & Lara-Navarra, P. (2014). El big data transforma la interpretación de los medios sociales. Profesional de la Información, 23(6), 575-581. https://doi.org/10.3145/epi.2014.nov.03

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Meyer, I., & Mackintosh, K. (1994). Phraseme analysis and concept analysis: Exploring a symbiotic relationship in the specialized lexicon. In W. Martin, et al. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 6th EURALEX International Congress (pp. 339-348). Euralex. https://bit.ly/3M68u4N

Link Google Scholar

Mohri, M., Rostamizadeh, A., & Talwalkar, A. (2018). Foundations of machine learning. MIT Press. https://bit.ly/3K3v7VX

Link Google Scholar

Mojica, F. J. (2005). La construcción del futuro. Concepto y modelo de prospectiva estratégica, territorial y tecnológica, Books, 1(26). https://bit.ly/3G4lRA6

Link Google Scholar

Morse, J.M., & Niehaus, L. (2009). Mixed method design. Principles and procedures. Routledge. https://bit.ly/3tfUJYI

Link Google Scholar

Oxman, R. (2017). Thinking difference: Theories and models of parametric design thinking. Design Studies, 52, 4-39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.destud.2017.06.001

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

O’Halloran, K.L., Tan, S., Pham, D.S., Bateman, J., & Vande-Moere, A. (2018). A digital mixed methods research design: Integrating multimodal analysis with data mining and information visualization for big data analytics. Journal of Mixed Methods Research, 12(1), 11-30. https://doi.org/10.1177/1558689816651015

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Pereira-Pérez, Z. (2011). Los diseños de método mixto en la investigación en educación: Una experiencia concreta. Revista Electrónica Educare, 25(1), 15-29. https://doi.org/10.15359/ree.15-1.2

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Ramírez-Montoya, M.S., & Lugo-Ocando, J. (2020). Systematic review of mixed methods in the framework of educational innovation. [Revisión sistemática de métodos mixtos en el marco de la innovación educativa]. Comunicar, 65, 9-20. https://doi.org/10.3916/C65-2020-01

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Rowe, P.G. (1987). Design thinking. MIT Press. https://bit.ly/3HjpL7f

Link Google Scholar

Saorín, T., & Pastor-Sánchez, J.A. (2018). Wikidata y DBpedia: Viaje al centro de la web de datos. Anuario ThinkEPI, 12, 207-214. https://doi.org/10.3145/thinkepi.2018.31

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Schwartz, P. (1991). The art of long view. Crown Business. https://bit.ly/3lskZMaShavlik, J.W., Dietterich, T., & Dietterich, T.G. (1990). Readings in machine learning. Morgan Kaufmann. https://bit.ly/36Mq0uT

Link Google Scholar

Suchanek, F.M., Kasneci, G., & Weikum, G. (2007). Yago: A core of semantic knowledge. In Proceedings of the 16th international conference on World Wide Web (pp. 697-706). https://doi.org/10.1145/1242572.1242667

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Vejlgaard, H. (2007). Anatomy of a trend. Confetti Publishing. https://bit.ly/3so6wF4

Link Google Scholar

Visser, W. (2006). The cognitive artifacts of designing. CRC Press. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781482269529

Link DOI | Link Google Scholar

Crossmark

Technical information

Received: 27-02-2022

Revised: 05-04-2022

Accepted: 12-05-2022

OnlineFirst: 30-06-2022

Publication date: 01-10-2022

Article revision time: 36 days | Average time revision issue 73: 43 days

Article acceptance time: 73 days | Average time of acceptance issue 73: 88 days

Preprint editing time: 170 days | Average editing time preprint issue 73: 185 days

Article editing time: 215 days | Average editing time issue 73: 230 days

Metrics

Metrics of this article

Views: 27585

Abstract readings: 25402

PDF downloads: 2183

Full metrics of Comunicar 73

Views: 280387

Abstract readings: 255404

PDF downloads: 24983

Cited by

Cites in Web of Science

Acevedo-Duque, A; Prado-Sabido, T; (...); Armas, HMA. Postgraduate Trends in the Training of Human Talent for Sustainable Development Sustainability, 2022.

https://doi.org/10.3390/su142114356

Clares-Clares, E and Gomez-Marmol, A. Influence of performance in Spanish language and literature on physical education and music grades FRONTIERS IN EDUCATION, 2022.

https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2022.1054024

Quintero, FAL; Zambrano, LMV and Calderon, MGM. Diffusion of knowledge in the social area digital editorial initiative of open access ETIC NET-REVISTA CIENTIFICA ELECTRONICA DE EDUCACION Y COMUNICACION EN LA SOCIEDAD DEL CONOCIMIENTO, 2023.

https://doi.org/10.30827/eticanet.v23i1.26730

Manetti, A; Lara-Navarra, P and Sanchez-Navarro, J. Possibilities for futurecasting: designing a digital map of trends ARTNODES, 2022.

https://doi.org/10.7238/artnodes.v0i30.401218

Cites in Scopus

Acevedo-Duque, Á., Prado-Sabido, T., García-Salirrosas, E.E., (...), Valle Palomino, N., Aguilar Armas, H.M.. Postgraduate Trends in the Training of Human Talent for Sustainable Development), Sustainability, .

https://doi.org/10.3390/su142114356

Clares-Clares, E., Gómez-Mármol, A. . Influence of performance in Spanish language and literature on physical education and music grades ), Frontiers in Education, .

https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2022.1054024

Manetti, A., Lara-Navarra, P., Sánchez-Navarro, J.. Possibilities for futurecasting: designing a digital map of trends), Artnodes, .

https://doi.org/10.7238/artnodes.v0i30.401218

Filimonyuk, L., Ivashova, V., Burlyaeva, V., Demchenko, N., Sorokina, E.. Development of an up-to-date competency profile of the head of the university educational program), E3S Web of Conferences , .

https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202338908012

Cites in Google Scholar

Masegosa, A. N. DIAGNÓSTICO, DIDÁCTICA Y TEORÍA DE LA EDUCACIÓN CAPITALISTAS. COMUNICAR PARA EL CAPITAL. CARIBEÑA DE CIENCIAS SOCIALES, 1.

https://www.eumed.net/uploads/revistas/5b9519f59e9992f23d4c52ebded9cf21.pdf#page=4

Postgraduate Trends in the Training of Human Talent for Sustainable Development Á Acevedo-Duque, T Prado-Sabido… - Sustainability, 2022 - mdpi.com

https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/14356

Possibilities for futurecasting: designing a digital map of trends A Manetti, P Lara-Navarra, J Sánchez-Navarro - Artnodes, 2022 - raco.cat

https://www.raco.cat/index.php/Artnodes/article/view/n30-manetti

Download

Alternative metrics

How to cite

Manetti, A., Lara-Navarra, P., & Sánchez-Navarro, J. (2022). Design process for the generation of future education scenarios. [El proceso de diseño para la generación de escenarios futuros educativos]. Comunicar, 73, 33-44. https://doi.org/10.3916/C73-2022-03

Share

           

Oxbridge Publishing House

4 White House Way

B91 1SE Sollihul United Kingdom

Administration

Editorial office

Creative Commons

This website uses cookies to obtain statistical data on the navigation of its users. If you continue to browse we consider that you accept its use. +info X